U.S. Energy Information Administration   |   Effects of Increased Natural Gas Exports on Domestic Energy Markets                           23   
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U.S. Energy Information Administration   |   Effects of Increased Natural Gas Exports on Domestic Energy Markets        24 
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U.S. Energy Information Administration   |   Effects of Increased Natural Gas Exports on Domestic Energy Markets                           25   
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U.S. Energy Information Administration   |   Effects of Increased Natural Gas Exports on Domestic Energy Markets        26 
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U.S. Energy Information Administration   |   Effects of Increased Natural Gas Exports on Domestic Energy Markets                           27   
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U.S. Energy Information Administration   |   Effects of Increased Natural Gas Exports on Domestic Energy Markets        28 
Appendix B. Summary Tables 
Table B1.  U.S. Annual Average Values from 2015 to 2025
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
baseline
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
baseline
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
baseline
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
baseline
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
NATURAL GAS VOLUMES (Tcf)
Net Exports
(1.90)
(0.29)
0.11
0.17
1.74
(1.32)
0.32
0.70
0.79
2.35
(2.72)
(1.17)
(0.88)
(0.73)
0.66
(2.00)
(0.38)
0.01
0.07
1.64
gross imports
3.62
3.70
3.70
3.74
3.76
3.19
3.25
3.26
3.27
3.31
4.27
4.42
4.53
4.48
4.68
3.70
3.78
3.79
3.82
3.85
gross exports
1.72
3.41
3.81
3.91
5.50
1.87
3.56
3.96
4.06
5.65
1.56
3.25
3.65
3.75
5.34
1.70
3.39
3.79
3.89
5.49
Dry Production 
23.27
24.15
24.37
24.42
25.33
26.24
27.28
27.51
27.57
28.41
19.80
20.72
20.78
20.99
21.83
23.85
24.90
25.10
25.22
26.20
shale gas
8.34
8.96
9.17
9.13
9.90
11.90
12.66
12.87
12.89
13.64
3.88
4.42
4.63
4.53
5.22
8.73
9.49
9.70
9.69
10.51
other
14.93
15.18
15.20
15.29
15.43
14.34
14.61
14.65
14.68
14.77
15.91
16.30
16.15
16.45
16.62
15.12
15.41
15.39
15.53
15.70
Delivered Volumes (1)
23.34
22.57
22.38
22.37
21.68
25.58
24.94
24.79
24.75
24.00
20.82
20.13
19.90
19.94
19.35
23.99
23.37
23.17
23.22
22.60
electric generators
6.81
6.25
6.16
6.11
5.67
8.35
7.94
7.88
7.80
7.30
5.07
4.66
4.55
4.54
4.23
6.99
6.63
6.53
6.54
6.21
industrial
8.14
8.01
7.95
7.98
7.83
8.55
8.40
8.34
8.37
8.19
7.74
7.58
7.51
7.56
7.38
8.50
8.34
8.27
8.30
8.12
residential
4.83
4.80
4.79
4.79
4.75
4.94
4.92
4.90
4.91
4.87
4.68
4.63
4.61
4.62
4.57
4.90
4.86
4.85
4.85
4.81
commercial
3.48
3.44
3.42
3.42
3.37
3.65
3.61
3.59
3.60
3.55
3.27
3.20
3.17
3.18
3.11
3.52
3.46
3.45
3.45
3.39
NATURAL GAS END-USE PRICES (2009$/Mcf)
residential
11.19
11.63
11.77
11.81
12.33
9.92
10.24
10.37
10.36
10.72
13.23
14.05
14.27
14.42
15.10
11.56
12.09
12.21
12.29
12.87
commercial
9.23
9.66
9.79
9.83
10.34
7.97
8.28
8.40
8.39
8.74
11.27
12.09
12.31
12.46
13.16
9.60
10.12
10.24
10.31
10.88
industrial
5.59
6.10
6.25
6.32
6.91
4.41
4.80
4.95
4.94
5.41
7.50
8.40
8.62
8.83
9.59
5.89
6.49
6.63
6.73
7.41
OTHER PRICES
Natural Gas Wellhead Price (2009$/Mcf)
4.70
5.17
5.30
5.37
5.91
3.56
3.90
4.02
4.03
4.42
6.52
7.41
7.63
7.84
8.64
4.99
5.54
5.66
5.77
6.39
Henry Hub Price (2009$/MMBtu)
5.17
5.69
5.83
5.91
6.51
3.92
4.29
4.43
4.43
4.87
7.18
8.16
8.41
8.64
9.51
5.49
6.10
6.23
6.35
7.04
Coal Minemouth Price (2009$/short-ton)
32.67
32.76
32.89
32.89
32.89
32.33
32.69
32.52
32.59
32.77
32.91
33.15
33.10
32.97
33.04
33.23
33.18
33.06
33.33
33.28
End-Use Electricity Price (2009 cents/KWh)
8.85
8.98
9.00
9.02
9.17
8.56
8.62
8.67
8.64
8.70
9.44
9.64
9.71
9.78
9.97
9.08
9.26
9.27
9.32
9.46
NATURAL GAS REVENUES (B 2009$)
Export Revenues (2)
9.47
20.64
23.25
25.10
37.74
7.51
16.01
18.17
19.27
28.89
12.83
29.03
32.72
36.09
53.91
10.04
22.11
24.82
26.97
40.81
Domestic Supply Revenues (3)
160.19
175.25
179.33
181.70
199.21
147.33
159.55
163.65
164.23
177.50
177.88
201.92
206.65
213.21
236.34
171.34
190.13
193.88
197.79
218.78
production revenues (4)
109.53
125.29
129.41
132.23
150.47
93.68
106.70
111.00
111.90
126.30
129.24
154.00
158.75
165.84
189.27
119.39
138.71
142.53
146.83
168.64
delivery revenues (5)
50.65
49.97
49.92
49.46
48.74
53.65
52.85
52.65
52.33
51.20
48.64
47.92
47.91
47.37
47.07
51.94
51.41
51.36
50.96
50.14
Import Revenues (6)
17.44
19.22
19.72
19.92
21.97
12.09
13.35
13.86
13.83
15.35
28.00
31.62
33.03
33.32
36.58
18.96
21.07
21.66
21.94
24.19
END-USE ENERGY EXPENDITURES (B 2009$)
1,398.11
1,409.25
1,410.59
1,414.03
1,424.75
1,368.25
1,375.50
1,377.65
1,379.69
1,386.87
1,448.36
1,465.24
1,469.02
1,473.83
1,482.50
1,485.34
1,498.28
1,499.67
1,504.03
1,514.65
liquids
913.43
914.55
913.66
915.34
915.15
908.98
909.65
908.67
911.23
911.57
920.92
921.56
921.21
920.98
916.83
971.80
971.63
971.22
972.09
970.98
natural gas
128.00
133.77
135.27
136.30
142.58
113.26
117.51
119.11
119.24
123.94
151.16
161.03
163.24
165.90
173.42
136.49
143.47
144.71
146.37
153.61
electricity
349.77
354.03
354.76
355.46
360.10
339.21
341.51
343.06
342.39
344.53
369.28
375.68
377.60
379.98
385.31
369.58
375.70
376.28
378.08
382.59
coal
6.90
6.91
6.91
6.93
6.92
6.80
6.82
6.81
6.83
6.83
6.99
6.98
6.97
6.97
6.94
7.47
7.49
7.46
7.49
7.46
END-USE ENERGY CONSUMPTION (quadrillion 
Btu)
67.88
67.68
67.59
67.67
67.37
68.58
68.40
68.28
68.37
68.11
66.93
66.63
66.49
66.54
66.20
70.23
70.02
69.89
69.98
69.64
liquids
36.71
36.74
36.74
36.78
36.78
36.67
36.71
36.71
36.74
36.75
36.71
36.72
36.71
36.74
36.73
38.13
38.18
38.16
38.20
38.20
natural gas
16.04
15.85
15.76
15.81
15.55
16.76
16.55
16.45
16.49
16.23
15.22
14.97
14.86
14.91
14.65
16.49
16.26
16.16
16.21
15.92
electricity
13.44
13.41
13.41
13.41
13.37
13.48
13.47
13.46
13.48
13.47
13.32
13.26
13.24
13.22
13.16
13.84
13.81
13.80
13.79
13.75
coal
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.67
1.77
1.77
1.77
1.77
1.76
ELECTRIC GENERATION (billion kWh)
4,456.38
4,441.98
4,437.47
4,441.10
4,422.62
4,492.78
4,484.65
4,477.63
4,483.35
4,471.75
4,391.20
4,369.32
4,360.19
4,356.29
4,329.07
4,594.62
4,577.41
4,572.19
4,572.39
4,552.42
coal 
1,921.25
1,982.85
1,995.33
1,999.09
2,044.09
1,756.51
1,808.90
1,813.78
1,828.74
1,885.58
2,093.76
2,132.35
2,134.49
2,123.82
2,139.82
2,004.09
2,036.83
2,052.54
2,043.09
2,073.78
gas
999.19
918.42
902.15
898.01
829.83
1,232.25
1,170.15
1,158.31
1,147.99
1,070.38
733.83
671.33
653.23
655.42
608.52
1,036.47
978.19
959.84
964.71
909.63
nuclear
866.34
866.34
866.34
866.34
866.34
850.50
850.50
850.50
851.17
855.05
866.34
866.34
866.34
866.34
866.34
866.34
866.34
866.34
866.34
866.34
renewables
610.16
614.27
613.17
617.16
621.29
593.01
594.47
595.24
594.57
599.35
636.27
638.25
645.09
648.70
651.89
626.90
634.74
632.26
636.59
641.06
other
59.43
60.11
60.48
60.50
61.08
60.51
60.63
59.80
60.87
61.39
61.00
61.04
61.03
62.00
62.50
60.83
61.30
61.21
61.65
61.61
PRIMARY ENERGY (quadrillion Btu)
Consumption
104.89
104.90
104.87
104.98
104.91
105.24
105.25
105.14
105.32
105.27
104.34
104.16
104.07
104.06
103.75
108.35
108.31
108.25
108.36
108.12
Imports
28.62
28.75
28.72
28.78
28.90
27.69
27.73
27.77
27.87
27.94
29.78
29.83
29.92
29.98
30.08
30.06
30.22
30.21
30.24
30.28
Exports
7.06
8.76
9.15
9.26
10.86
7.20
8.92
9.32
9.43
11.03
6.85
8.54
8.93
9.01
10.60
7.10
8.80
9.20
9.30
10.90
Production
83.14
84.73
85.12
85.28
86.71
84.63
86.34
86.60
86.79
88.26
81.15
82.63
82.84
82.86
84.05
85.16
86.66
87.01
87.18
88.52
ENERGY RELATED CO
EMISSIONS (including 
liquefaction)(million metric tons)
5,793.73
5,832.23
5,837.67
5,846.39
5,869.62
5,754.36
5,787.50
5,787.31
5,804.76
5,833.35
5,832.09
5,853.23
5,846.94
5,841.58
5,843.35
6,017.09
6,037.23
6,043.12
6,043.12
6,055.08
Reference
High Shale EUR
Low Shale EUR
High Macroeconomic Growth
Table B2.  Differential from Base in U.S. Average Annual Values from 2015 to 2025 when Exports are Added
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
NATURAL GAS VOLUMES (Tcf)
Net Exports
1.61
2.00
2.07
3.64
1.64
2.02
2.11
3.67
1.55
1.84
1.99
3.38
1.62
2.01
2.07
3.64
gross imports
0.08
0.09
0.12
0.15
0.05
0.07
0.08
0.12
0.14
0.25
0.20
0.41
0.07
0.08
0.12
0.14
gross exports
1.69
2.09
2.19
3.78
1.69
2.09
2.19
3.78
1.69
2.09
2.19
3.78
1.69
2.09
2.19
3.78
Dry Production 
0.87
1.09
1.15
2.05
1.04
1.28
1.33
2.17
0.92
0.98
1.19
2.04
1.05
1.24
1.37
2.35
shale gas
0.62
0.82
0.79
1.55
0.77
0.97
0.99
1.74
0.53
0.75
0.65
1.33
0.76
0.97
0.96
1.78
other
0.25
0.27
0.36
0.50
0.27
0.31
0.34
0.43
0.39
0.24
0.54
0.71
0.29
0.27
0.41
0.57
Delivered Volumes (1)
(0.77)
(0.95)
(0.97)
(1.66)
(0.64)
(0.80)
(0.84)
(1.59)
(0.69)
(0.91)
(0.88)
(1.46)
(0.62)
(0.82)
(0.77)
(1.39)
electric generators
(0.57)
(0.66)
(0.71)
(1.15)
(0.42)
(0.47)
(0.55)
(1.05)
(0.41)
(0.52)
(0.53)
(0.84)
(0.36)
(0.46)
(0.45)
(0.78)
industrial
(0.13)
(0.19)
(0.16)
(0.32)
(0.15)
(0.22)
(0.19)
(0.36)
(0.15)
(0.23)
(0.18)
(0.35)
(0.16)
(0.23)
(0.20)
(0.38)
residential
(0.03)
(0.04)
(0.04)
(0.08)
(0.03)
(0.04)
(0.04)
(0.07)
(0.05)
(0.07)
(0.07)
(0.11)
(0.04)
(0.05)
(0.05)
(0.09)
commercial
(0.05)
(0.06)
(0.06)
(0.11)
(0.04)
(0.06)
(0.05)
(0.10)
(0.07)
(0.09)
(0.09)
(0.15)
(0.05)
(0.07)
(0.07)
(0.13)
NATURAL GAS END-USE PRICES (2009$/Mcf)
residential
0.44
0.58
0.62
1.14
0.32
0.45
0.44
0.80
0.81
1.03
1.18
1.87
0.53
0.65
0.72
1.31
commercial
0.43
0.57
0.61
1.12
0.31
0.43
0.42
0.76
0.82
1.04
1.19
1.89
0.52
0.64
0.71
1.28
industrial
0.51
0.66
0.73
1.32
0.39
0.54
0.54
1.00
0.90
1.13
1.33
2.09
0.61
0.74
0.85
1.52
OTHER PRICES
Natural Gas Wellhead Price (2009$/Mcf)
0.47
0.60
0.68
1.21
0.33
0.46
0.47
0.86
0.88
1.11
1.32
2.11
0.55
0.67
0.77
1.40
Henry Hub Price (2009$/MMBtu)
0.52
0.66
0.74
1.34
0.37
0.51
0.51
0.95
0.97
1.22
1.46
2.33
0.60
0.74
0.85
1.54
Coal Minemouth Price (2009$/short-ton)
0.09
0.21
0.22
0.22
0.36
0.19
0.26
0.44
0.24
0.19
0.06
0.13
(0.05)
(0.17)
0.11
0.06
End-Use Electricity Price (2009 cents/KWh)
0.13
0.15
0.17
0.31
0.06
0.11
0.08
0.14
0.20
0.27
0.34
0.53
0.17
0.19
0.24
0.38
NATURAL GAS REVENUES (B 2009$)
Export Revenues (2)
11.17
13.77
15.63
28.26
8.50
10.65
11.75
21.38
16.20
19.89
23.25
41.08
12.07
14.79
16.93
30.78
Domestic Supply Revenues (3)
15.07
19.14
21.51
39.02
12.22
16.32
16.91
30.17
24.04
28.77
35.33
58.46
18.79
22.55
26.46
47.44
production revenues (4)
15.75
19.88
22.70
40.93
13.02
17.31
18.22
32.62
24.76
29.51
36.60
60.03
19.32
23.13
27.44
49.24
delivery revenues (5)
(0.68)
(0.74)
(1.19)
(1.91)
(0.80)
(0.99)
(1.32)
(2.45)
(0.72)
(0.74)
(1.28)
(1.58)
(0.53)
(0.59)
(0.98)
(1.80)
Import Revenues (6)
1.78
2.28
2.48
4.53
1.26
1.77
1.74
3.26
3.62
5.03
5.32
8.58
2.12
2.70
2.99
5.24
END-USE ENERGY EXPENDITURES (B 2009$)
11.15
12.49
15.92
26.65
7.26
9.40
11.44
18.63
16.89
20.67
25.47
34.14
12.94
14.33
18.69
29.31
liquids
1.12
0.22
1.91
1.72
0.68
(0.30)
2.26
2.60
0.64
0.29
0.05
(4.09)
(0.18)
(0.59)
0.29
(0.82)
natural gas
5.76
7.26
8.30
14.58
4.26
5.85
5.98
10.68
9.86
12.07
14.73
22.25
6.98
8.22
9.88
17.12
electricity
4.26
4.99
5.69
10.32
2.31
3.85
3.18
5.32
6.39
8.31
10.70
16.02
6.12
6.70
8.50
13.01
coal
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.03
0.03
(0.00)
(0.01)
(0.01)
(0.04)
0.02
(0.01)
0.02
(0.00)
END-USE ENERGY CONSUMPTION (quadrillion 
Btu)
(0.20)
(0.29)
(0.21)
(0.50)
(0.18)
(0.30)
(0.21)
(0.47)
(0.30)
(0.44)
(0.38)
(0.73)
(0.22)
(0.34)
(0.26)
(0.60)
liquids
0.03
0.03
0.06
0.06
0.04
0.04
0.07
0.08
0.01
(0.00)
0.03
0.02
0.05
0.03
0.07
0.07
natural gas
(0.19)
(0.28)
(0.23)
(0.49)
(0.22)
(0.32)
(0.27)
(0.53)
(0.25)
(0.36)
(0.31)
(0.57)
(0.24)
(0.34)
(0.28)
(0.57)
electricity
(0.03)
(0.04)
(0.04)
(0.08)
(0.00)
(0.02)
(0.00)
(0.01)
(0.06)
(0.08)
(0.09)
(0.16)
(0.03)
(0.04)
(0.05)
(0.09)
coal
(0.00)
(0.00)
0.00
(0.00)
(0.00)
(0.00)
0.00
(0.00)
(0.00)
(0.01)
(0.00)
(0.01)
(0.00)
(0.00)
0.00
(0.01)
ELECTRIC GENERATION (billion kWh)
(14.39)
(18.91)
(15.27)
(33.75)
(8.13)
(15.15)
(9.43)
(21.02)
(21.89)
(31.02)
(34.92)
(62.13)
(17.21)
(22.43)
(22.23)
(42.20)
coal 
61.59
74.07
77.84
122.84
52.39
57.26
72.23
129.07
38.59
40.73
30.06
46.06
32.74
48.46
39.01
69.70
gas
(80.76)
(97.03)
(101.17)
(169.36)
(62.10)
(73.94)
(84.25)
(161.86)
(62.50)
(80.59)
(78.41)
(125.31)
(58.28)
(76.63)
(71.76)
(126.84)
nuclear
-
-
-
-
0.00
0.00
0.67
4.55
(0.00)
-
-
(0.00)
-
-
-
-
renewables
4.10
3.00
7.00
11.12
1.46
2.24
1.57
6.35
1.98
8.82
12.43
15.61
7.85
5.36
9.70
14.17
other
0.67
1.04
1.07
1.64
0.11
(0.71)
0.36
0.88
0.04
0.03
1.00
1.50
0.47
0.38
0.82
0.78
PRIMARY ENERGY (quadrillion Btu)
Consumption
0.02
(0.02)
0.09
0.02
0.01
(0.09)
0.08
0.03
(0.18)
(0.27)
(0.28)
(0.59)
(0.03)
(0.10)
0.01
(0.23)
Imports
0.13
0.10
0.16
0.28
0.04
0.08
0.18
0.26
0.05
0.14
0.20
0.30
0.16
0.15
0.18
0.22
Exports
1.70
2.09
2.20
3.79
1.72
2.12
2.23
3.83
1.69
2.08
2.16
3.75
1.70
2.10
2.20
3.80
Production
1.59
1.98
2.14
3.58
1.71
1.96
2.16
3.63
1.47
1.69
1.71
2.90
1.50
1.85
2.02
3.36
ENERGY RELATED CO
EMISSIONS (including 
liquefaction)(million metric tons)
38.50
43.94
52.67
75.90
33.14
32.94
50.39
78.99
21.14
14.85
9.48
11.26
20.14
26.03
26.03
37.99
Reference
High Shale EUR
Low Shale EUR
High Macroeconomic Growth
Table B3.  U.S. Annual Average Values from 2025 to 2035
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
baseline
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
baseline
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
baseline
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
baseline
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
NATURAL GAS VOLUMES (Tcf)
Net Exports
(0.71)
1.48
1.48
3.52
3.57
0.10
2.16
2.15
4.19
4.20
(2.09)
(0.21)
(0.33)
1.83
1.76
(0.88)
1.29
1.29
3.21
3.38
gross imports
2.98
2.99
2.98
3.10
3.09
2.47
2.60
2.61
2.73
2.75
3.99
4.30
4.42
4.41
4.52
3.09
3.11
3.11
3.35
3.21
gross exports
2.28
4.47
4.47
6.62
6.66
2.57
4.76
4.76
6.91
6.95
1.90
4.09
4.09
6.25
6.28
2.21
4.40
4.40
6.56
6.59
Dry Production 
25.07
26.58
26.66
28.08
28.23
28.73
30.16
30.21
31.50
31.51
20.98
22.22
22.24
23.61
23.89
26.84
28.59
28.55
29.99
30.31
shale gas
10.96
12.08
12.10
13.10
13.27
15.51
16.70
16.75
17.75
17.74
5.22
6.06
6.13
6.78
6.97
12.19
13.49
13.47
14.49
14.75
other
14.12
14.49
14.56
14.98
14.96
13.21
13.46
13.47
13.75
13.77
15.76
16.16
16.11
16.83
16.91
14.65
15.10
15.08
15.50
15.56
Delivered Volumes (1)
23.96
23.22
23.29
22.60
22.70
26.63
25.94
26.00
25.19
25.19
21.41
20.69
20.82
19.97
20.27
25.80
25.29
25.26
24.72
24.85
electric generators
7.27
6.87
6.95
6.56
6.66
8.89
8.55
8.65
8.11
8.20
5.78
5.28
5.41
4.82
5.08
8.21
8.04
8.03
7.77
7.93
industrial
8.06
7.82
7.81
7.62
7.60
8.68
8.45
8.42
8.25
8.16
7.47
7.34
7.32
7.20
7.19
8.68
8.43
8.40
8.22
8.18
residential
4.82
4.78
4.78
4.73
4.74
4.95
4.91
4.91
4.88
4.88
4.64
4.61
4.61
4.56
4.58
5.01
4.97
4.97
4.93
4.94
commercial
3.68
3.62
3.62
3.56
3.57
3.91
3.85
3.85
3.80
3.80
3.40
3.36
3.37
3.29
3.32
3.75
3.70
3.71
3.66
3.66
NATURAL GAS END-USE PRICES (2009$/Mcf)
residential
12.90
13.45
13.39
14.05
13.85
11.31
11.66
11.68
12.10
11.98
15.49
15.96
15.83
16.76
16.27
13.70
14.13
14.06
14.67
14.51
commercial
10.61
11.15
11.09
11.73
11.54
9.01
9.34
9.36
9.75
9.63
13.24
13.71
13.58
14.53
14.02
11.39
11.80
11.73
12.32
12.15
industrial
6.82
7.43
7.36
8.26
7.98
5.39
5.86
5.88
6.46
6.32
9.30
9.79
9.66
10.69
10.09
7.50
8.05
7.96
8.82
8.59
OTHER PRICES
Natural Gas Wellhead Price (2009$/Mcf)
5.88
6.42
6.35
7.14
6.88
4.45
4.82
4.83
5.31
5.17
8.25
8.77
8.68
9.69
9.10
6.52
6.98
6.90
7.67
7.43
Henry Hub Price (2009$/MMBtu)
6.47
7.06
6.99
7.86
7.58
4.90
5.30
5.31
5.85
5.69
9.08
9.66
9.56
10.67
10.02
7.18
7.68
7.60
8.45
8.18
Coal Minemouth Price (2009$/short-ton)
33.46
33.51
33.43
33.68
33.43
33.20
33.45
33.21
33.42
33.25
33.77
34.11
33.89
33.76
33.85
34.30
34.01
33.95
33.99
34.16
End-Use Electricity Price (2009 cents/KWh)
9.02
9.17
9.15
9.36
9.28
8.57
8.65
8.67
8.75
8.69
9.86
9.98
9.94
10.25
10.06
9.50
9.67
9.63
9.90
9.78
NATURAL GAS REVENUES (B 2009$)
Export Revenues (2)
12.81
29.82
29.50
50.58
48.98
10.46
23.42
23.49
38.88
38.06
17.38
39.57
38.98
66.69
62.90
14.21
32.48
32.11
54.16
52.87
Domestic Supply Revenues (3)
199.45
221.98
220.95
249.66
244.39
184.30
200.41
201.19
220.08
216.08
222.71
243.85
242.19
276.77
266.61
230.96
254.64
252.33
282.66
278.95
production revenues (4)
147.54
170.77
169.47
200.63
194.52
128.09
145.41
146.06
167.45
162.93
173.25
194.92
193.13
228.66
217.47
175.63
199.91
197.44
230.19
225.48
delivery revenues (5)
51.91
51.21
51.48
49.03
49.87
56.21
55.00
55.13
52.63
53.14
49.47
48.94
49.06
48.11
49.13
55.33
54.74
54.89
52.47
53.47
Import Revenues (6)
18.06
19.89
19.65
22.97
22.09
11.69
13.64
13.75
16.04
15.80
33.87
37.50
37.30
41.19
39.73
20.96
22.75
22.52
26.35
24.99
END-USE ENERGY EXPENDITURES (B 2009$)
1,582.70
1,589.93
1,589.52
1,602.94
1,596.44
1,543.37
1,552.01
1,553.43
1,559.62
1,552.40
1,648.34
1,658.55
1,651.04
1,673.64
1,651.53
1,766.94
1,773.78
1,770.57
1,786.74
1,777.53
liquids
1,036.91
1,032.47
1,033.91
1,030.97
1,030.61
1,032.78
1,033.84
1,034.44
1,031.39
1,028.44
1,044.39
1,046.22
1,041.53
1,044.12
1,034.65
1,156.40
1,151.96
1,151.22
1,149.05
1,147.03
natural gas
152.47
158.71
157.65
166.94
163.18
136.00
140.12
140.18
146.00
143.37
180.36
184.84
183.01
194.25
187.01
172.16
177.27
175.86
185.15
181.63
electricity
386.65
392.12
391.36
398.45
396.09
368.01
371.51
372.27
375.68
374.08
416.91
420.84
419.85
428.68
423.29
430.75
436.99
435.94
445.06
441.40
coal
6.67
6.62
6.61
6.59
6.56
6.57
6.54
6.53
6.54
6.51
6.68
6.64
6.65
6.59
6.58
7.63
7.55
7.54
7.48
7.46
END-USE ENERGY CONSUMPTION (quadrillion 
Btu)
70.29
69.92
69.90
69.59
69.57
71.26
70.89
70.87
70.66
70.61
68.84
68.56
68.64
68.25
68.43
74.98
74.60
74.59
74.25
74.26
liquids
37.85
37.84
37.82
37.84
37.83
37.75
37.74
37.75
37.81
37.80
37.74
37.71
37.77
37.73
37.81
40.67
40.66
40.65
40.64
40.64
natural gas
16.26
15.95
15.94
15.69
15.66
17.32
16.97
16.93
16.66
16.58
15.13
14.92
14.92
14.71
14.73
17.13
16.83
16.81
16.58
16.53
electricity
14.59
14.55
14.56
14.48
14.52
14.61
14.62
14.62
14.61
14.66
14.39
14.35
14.38
14.25
14.32
15.43
15.39
15.41
15.31
15.37
coal
1.59
1.58
1.58
1.57
1.57
1.58
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.58
1.57
1.57
1.56
1.56
1.74
1.73
1.73
1.72
1.72
ELECTRIC GENERATION (billion kWh)
4,926.27
4,899.77
4,902.00
4,877.85
4,883.87
4,985.61
4,970.39
4,968.96
4,955.47
4,962.16
4,805.29
4,785.02
4,792.39
4,749.29
4,771.60
5,218.96
5,192.01
5,194.85
5,161.80
5,172.17
coal 
2,142.71
2,177.86
2,173.08
2,205.23
2,199.91
1,965.65
2,017.08
2,010.40
2,076.04
2,072.01
2,250.96
2,299.95
2,288.43
2,318.37
2,307.93
2,230.53
2,234.24
2,247.81
2,248.95
2,243.60
gas
1,143.09
1,075.44
1,084.20
1,020.61
1,029.93
1,418.58
1,349.39
1,356.51
1,272.85
1,275.05
878.08
797.50
812.65
731.17
762.84
1,317.28
1,273.98
1,266.15
1,220.40
1,234.87
nuclear
876.67
876.67
876.67
876.67
876.67
858.29
858.29
858.29
858.29
863.83
876.67
878.22
878.27
879.99
878.26
876.67
877.25
876.67
877.38
876.67
renewables
702.87
707.59
705.79
711.29
713.75
681.48
683.24
681.93
685.54
688.71
734.07
743.56
747.72
752.68
756.76
730.61
742.46
740.48
748.18
750.94
other
60.93
62.21
62.25
64.05
63.60
61.62
62.40
61.82
62.74
62.56
65.51
65.81
65.32
67.09
65.81
63.87
64.07
63.73
66.89
66.09
PRIMARY ENERGY (quadrillion Btu)
Consumption
111.05
110.88
110.85
110.69
110.76
111.50
111.37
111.37
111.45
111.46
109.71
109.57
109.69
109.18
109.59
117.72
117.47
117.54
117.22
117.23
Imports
27.93
27.63
27.67
27.60
27.46
26.80
26.78
26.86
27.04
26.99
29.22
29.38
29.42
29.45
29.40
30.26
30.04
29.97
30.09
29.72
Exports
7.91
10.13
10.13
12.29
12.32
8.18
10.39
10.40
12.58
12.62
7.54
9.74
9.72
11.88
11.94
7.97
10.17
10.18
12.32
12.36
Production
90.96
93.37
93.26
95.38
95.65
92.89
95.05
94.99
97.21
97.27
87.86
89.79
89.86
91.50
92.04
95.31
97.52
97.67
99.38
99.80
ENERGY RELATED CO
EMISSIONS (including 
liquefaction)(million metric tons)
6,114.82
6,136.49
6,131.49
6,155.61
6,152.88
6,074.00
6,103.94
6,102.31
6,151.52
6,146.61
6,084.64
6,103.94
6,106.49
6,104.89
6,120.61
6,521.09
6,517.76
6,525.31
6,521.52
6,520.16
Reference
High Shale EUR
Low Shale EUR
High Macroeconomic Growth
Table B4.  Differential from Base in U.S. Average Annual Values from 2025 to 2035 when Exports are Added
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
low/
low/
high/
high/
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
slow
rapid
NATURAL GAS VOLUMES (Tcf)
Net Exports
2.18
2.19
4.23
4.28
2.06
2.05
4.09
4.10
1.88
1.76
3.93
3.85
2.17
2.17
4.09
4.26
gross imports
0.01
0.00
0.12
0.10
0.13
0.14
0.26
0.28
0.31
0.43
0.42
0.53
0.02
0.02
0.26
0.12
gross exports
2.19
2.19
4.35
4.38
2.19
2.19
4.35
4.38
2.19
2.19
4.35
4.38
2.19
2.19
4.35
4.38
Dry Production 
1.51
1.59
3.00
3.15
1.43
1.49
2.77
2.78
1.24
1.25
2.62
2.90
1.74
1.71
3.15
3.47
shale gas
1.13
1.15
2.14
2.31
1.18
1.23
2.24
2.23
0.84
0.91
1.55
1.75
1.29
1.28
2.30
2.56
other
0.38
0.44
0.86
0.84
0.25
0.25
0.53
0.55
0.40
0.35
1.07
1.16
0.45
0.43
0.85
0.91
Delivered Volumes (1)
(0.75)
(0.67)
(1.36)
(1.26)
(0.69)
(0.63)
(1.43)
(1.43)
(0.72)
(0.59)
(1.44)
(1.13)
(0.51)
(0.54)
(1.08)
(0.95)
electric generators
(0.40)
(0.32)
(0.71)
(0.61)
(0.35)
(0.25)
(0.79)
(0.70)
(0.50)
(0.37)
(0.96)
(0.69)
(0.17)
(0.19)
(0.45)
(0.28)
industrial
(0.24)
(0.25)
(0.44)
(0.46)
(0.24)
(0.27)
(0.43)
(0.53)
(0.13)
(0.15)
(0.27)
(0.28)
(0.25)
(0.27)
(0.46)
(0.49)
residential
(0.04)
(0.04)
(0.08)
(0.08)
(0.03)
(0.03)
(0.07)
(0.06)
(0.03)
(0.03)
(0.08)
(0.06)
(0.04)
(0.03)
(0.07)
(0.07)
commercial
(0.06)
(0.06)
(0.12)
(0.11)
(0.05)
(0.06)
(0.11)
(0.10)
(0.05)
(0.04)
(0.11)
(0.08)
(0.05)
(0.04)
(0.10)
(0.09)
NATURAL GAS END-USE PRICES (2009$/Mcf)
residential
0.55
0.48
1.15
0.95
0.35
0.37
0.79
0.67
0.46
0.33
1.27
0.78
0.43
0.35
0.97
0.81
commercial
0.54
0.48
1.12
0.92
0.33
0.34
0.73
0.61
0.47
0.34
1.29
0.78
0.41
0.34
0.93
0.76
industrial
0.62
0.54
1.44
1.16
0.46
0.48
1.07
0.92
0.49
0.36
1.39
0.78
0.55
0.46
1.32
1.09
OTHER PRICES
Natural Gas Wellhead Price (2009$/Mcf)
0.54
0.47
1.27
1.01
0.36
0.38
0.86
0.71
0.52
0.43
1.44
0.85
0.45
0.38
1.15
0.90
Henry Hub Price (2009$/MMBtu)
0.60
0.52
1.39
1.11
0.40
0.41
0.95
0.79
0.57
0.47
1.59
0.94
0.50
0.42
1.26
1.00
Coal Minemouth Price (2009$/short-ton)
0.05
(0.03)
0.22
(0.03)
0.25
0.01
0.22
0.05
0.34
0.12
(0.01)
0.08
(0.29)
(0.35)
(0.30)
(0.14)
End-Use Electricity Price (2009 cents/KWh)
0.16
0.13
0.35
0.27
0.08
0.10
0.18
0.12
0.12
0.08
0.38
0.20
0.17
0.13
0.40
0.28
NATURAL GAS REVENUES (B 2009$)
Export Revenues (2)
17.01
16.69
37.77
36.17
12.96
13.03
28.42
27.60
22.19
21.60
49.31
45.52
18.27
17.90
39.95
38.66
Domestic Supply Revenues (3)
22.53
21.50
50.21
44.94
16.11
16.89
35.77
31.78
21.14
19.48
54.05
43.89
23.68
21.37
51.70
47.99
production revenues (4)
23.23
21.93
53.09
46.98
17.31
17.97
39.36
34.84
21.67
19.88
55.41
44.23
24.28
21.81
54.56
49.85
delivery revenues (5)
(0.71)
(0.44)
(2.88)
(2.04)
(1.21)
(1.08)
(3.58)
(3.06)
(0.53)
(0.40)
(1.36)
(0.33)
(0.60)
(0.44)
(2.86)
(1.87)
Import Revenues (6)
1.82
1.59
4.91
4.02
1.95
2.06
4.35
4.11
3.63
3.43
7.32
5.87
1.79
1.56
5.39
4.03
END-USE ENERGY EXPENDITURES (B 2009$)
7.22
6.81
20.24
13.73
8.64
10.06
16.25
9.03
10.21
2.71
25.31
3.19
6.84
3.63
19.81
10.59
liquids
(4.45)
(3.01)
(5.94)
(6.31)
1.05
1.66
(1.39)
(4.34)
1.83
(2.86)
(0.27)
(9.74)
(4.43)
(5.17)
(7.34)
(9.37)
natural gas
6.25
5.18
14.47
10.71
4.12
4.18
10.00
7.37
4.49
2.65
13.90
6.65
5.12
3.70
12.99
9.47
electricity
5.47
4.71
11.80
9.44
3.50
4.26
7.68
6.07
3.94
2.94
11.78
6.39
6.24
5.19
14.31
10.65
coal
(0.05)
(0.07)
(0.08)
(0.11)
(0.03)
(0.04)
(0.03)
(0.06)
(0.04)
(0.03)
(0.09)
(0.11)
(0.08)
(0.09)
(0.15)
(0.16)
END-USE ENERGY CONSUMPTION (quadrillion 
Btu)
(0.37)
(0.38)
(0.70)
(0.71)
(0.37)
(0.39)
(0.60)
(0.65)
(0.28)
(0.20)
(0.60)
(0.42)
(0.38)
(0.39)
(0.73)
(0.72)
liquids
(0.00)
(0.02)
(0.01)
(0.02)
(0.01)
0.00
0.06
0.06
(0.03)
0.03
(0.01)
0.07
(0.02)
(0.03)
(0.03)
(0.03)
natural gas
(0.31)
(0.32)
(0.57)
(0.60)
(0.35)
(0.39)
(0.65)
(0.74)
(0.21)
(0.21)
(0.42)
(0.40)
(0.30)
(0.32)
(0.54)
(0.60)
electricity
(0.04)
(0.03)
(0.11)
(0.07)
0.00
0.01
(0.00)
0.04
(0.04)
(0.01)
(0.14)
(0.07)
(0.05)
(0.02)
(0.13)
(0.07)
coal
(0.01)
(0.01)
(0.02)
(0.02)
(0.01)
(0.01)
(0.01)
(0.01)
(0.01)
(0.01)
(0.02)
(0.02)
(0.01)
(0.01)
(0.02)
(0.03)
ELECTRIC GENERATION (billion kWh)
(26.50)
(24.27)
(48.42)
(42.40)
(15.22)
(16.66)
(30.14)
(23.45)
(20.26)
(12.90)
(55.99)
(33.69)
(26.95)
(24.11)
(57.15)
(46.78)
coal 
35.15
30.37
62.53
57.20
51.43
44.76
110.39
106.36
48.98
37.46
67.41
56.97
3.71
17.28
18.42
13.07
gas
(67.65)
(58.89)
(122.48)
(113.16)
(69.19)
(62.06)
(145.72)
(143.53)
(80.58)
(65.43)
(146.91)
(115.24)
(43.30)
(51.13)
(96.88)
(82.41)
nuclear
-
(0.00)
-
-
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.55
1.54
1.60
3.32
1.59
0.58
0.00
0.71
0.00
renewables
4.72
2.92
8.41
10.87
1.76
0.46
4.07
7.23
9.49
13.65
18.61
22.69
11.85
9.87
17.57
20.33
other
1.28
1.33
3.12
2.68
0.77
0.19
1.12
0.94
0.30
(0.19)
1.58
0.31
0.20
(0.13)
3.02
2.22
PRIMARY ENERGY (quadrillion Btu)
Consumption
(0.16)
(0.20)
(0.35)
(0.29)
(0.13)
(0.13)
(0.05)
(0.04)
(0.13)
(0.02)
(0.53)
(0.12)
(0.25)
(0.18)
(0.50)
(0.49)
Imports
(0.30)
(0.26)
(0.33)
(0.47)
(0.03)
0.05
0.23
0.19
0.16
0.20
0.23
0.18
(0.22)
(0.30)
(0.17)
(0.54)
Exports
2.21
2.21
4.37
4.41
2.21
2.22
4.40
4.43
2.20
2.19
4.35
4.41
2.20
2.21
4.35
4.39
Production
2.41
2.30
4.42
4.69
2.16
2.10
4.32
4.38
1.93
2.00
3.65
4.18
2.20
2.36
4.07
4.49
ENERGY RELATED CO
EMISSIONS (including 
liquefaction)(million metric tons)
21.67
16.67
40.79
38.07
29.94
28.31
77.52
72.61
19.31
21.85
20.25
35.98
(3.33)
4.21
0.43
(0.93)
Reference
High Shale EUR
Low Shale EUR
High Macroeconomic Growth
Documents you may be interested
Documents you may be interested